Anri Nagata vs Rinko Matsuda Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent second serve performance, Anri Nagata edges out Rinko Matsuda slightly, winning 41.04% of points compared to Matsuda's 39.85%.
• When returning opponents' second serves, Matsuda shines, winning 50.29% of points compared to Nagata's 47.36%.
• For first serve returns, Matsuda maintains a lead with 33.43% success, slightly better than Nagata's 30.85%. Could this factor influence the match outcome?
• Under pressure, Matsuda is more resilient, saving 47.45% of breakpoints compared to Nagata's 44.29% efficiency.
• Over the past year, Matsuda has a significant win rate advantage, winning 60.32% of matches compared to Nagata's 42.86%. Does this consistency make Matsuda the favorite?
• Both players have their top surface success on different grounds: Nagata on Hard (54% wins) and Matsuda on Clay (54% wins).
• Matsuda competes at a higher level, with more frequent participation in Challengers/ITF tournaments, achieving a 56.10% win rate, whereas Nagata plays more in Futures/Satellites with a 40.00% win rate.
• In direct head-to-head encounters, Matsuda has a perfect record, having won their only past meeting against Nagata in straight sets.
• Matsuda faces stronger competition on average, with opponents ranked at 349.27 versus Nagata's 415.03.
• If the match goes to a deciding set, Matsuda shows exceptional performance history, with a win rate of 71% compared to Nagata's 30%.
• In converting breakpoints, Matsuda slightly outperforms, with a conversion rate of 36.36% against Nagata's 35.00%.

Editorial Prediction (November 21, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing their second serve efficiency, Anri Nagata holds a narrow advantage over Rinko Matsuda. However, Matsuda's prowess in returning serves, particularly the second serve, showcases her strong defensive capabilities.

The breakpoint save percentage indicates that Nagata might struggle under pressure, as Matsuda shows a better track record of saving crucial points. Additionally, Matsuda's greater match win rate suggests higher consistency and reliability across recent encounters.

Facing tougher competition and performing well under pressure likely gives Matsuda the upper hand. Her experience in high-level tournaments and a better deciding set record might play a pivotal role in this matchup.

Considering these factors, Rinko Matsuda appears to be the likelier candidate to win the upcoming match against Anri Nagata.